United States: One-Year Expected Inflation - Median

Macro

2026-09-09

Description

-

Published by
Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update

AI Data Insight

The median 1-year ahead inflation expectation in the US for Q3 2026 slightly declined to 3.5794%, a gradual improvement from the previous 3.6321%, indicating that short-term price pressures have not worsened further. Although the official Federal Reserve Bank of New York and market consensus broadly view it as flat at 3.6%, the precise data reflects a marginal cooling in inflation expectations. Meanwhile, affected by geopolitics and a slowing job market, consumer concerns regarding the labor market are gradually rising.

AI Data Insight

The median 1-year ahead inflation expectation in the US for Q3 2026 slightly declined to 3.5794%, a gradual improvement from the previous 3.6321%, indicating that short-term price pressures have not worsened further. Although the official Federal Reserve Bank of New York and market consensus broadly view it as flat at 3.6%, the precise data reflects a marginal cooling in inflation expectations. Meanwhile, affected by geopolitics and a slowing job market, consumer concerns regarding the labor market are gradually rising.

Description

-

Published by
Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update