AI Data Insight
In Q2 2026, the 25th percentile of US 1-year ahead inflation expectations rose to 1.9892%, continuing a slight upward trend from the previous value of 1.9648%. Although the New York Fed survey shows the overall median inflation expectation slightly dropped to 3.5%, the lower end of the distribution continues to rise, while respondents' pessimism regarding credit tightening and employment prospects has significantly escalated.