United States: One-Year Expected Inflation - 25th Percentile

Macro

2026-07-08

Description

-

Published by
Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update

AI Data Insight

In June 2026, the 25th percentile of US 1-year-ahead inflation expectations climbed further to 2.0497%, continuing its upward trend from 1.9892% in May, indicating that even relatively optimistic groups are starting to worry about price pressures. The latest market survey indicates that service sector costs, such as rent and medical care, are the primary drivers of these concerns, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer.

AI Data Insight

In June 2026, the 25th percentile of US 1-year-ahead inflation expectations climbed further to 2.0497%, continuing its upward trend from 1.9892% in May, indicating that even relatively optimistic groups are starting to worry about price pressures. The latest market survey indicates that service sector costs, such as rent and medical care, are the primary drivers of these concerns, which may prompt the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer.

Description

-

Published by
Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update