AI Data Insight
According to the latest data, in Q3 2026 (August), the average probability perceived by US individuals of losing their jobs over the next year fell to 13.84%, a further decline from the previous 14.17%, hitting a new low since February of this year. However, a New York Fed survey shows that public expectation of a rising national unemployment rate has reached a new high since 2020. This polarized phenomenon of "personal stability, overall pessimism" will become a critical consideration ahead of the Federal Reserve's September meeting.