United States: Resignation Prediction: Average Probability of Unemployment

Macro

2026-10-08

Description

-

Published by
Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update

AI Data Insight

According to the latest data in Q3 2026, the average probability of US consumers expecting to lose their jobs fell to 13.52%, a significant pullback from the previous value of 13.84%. The New York Fed survey shows that although the public has become more pessimistic about short-term inflation and the overall economic outlook, both personal job stability and confidence in voluntary job quitting have improved, highlighting the underlying strength of the labor market amid headwinds.

AI Data Insight

According to the latest data in Q3 2026, the average probability of US consumers expecting to lose their jobs fell to 13.52%, a significant pullback from the previous value of 13.84%. The New York Fed survey shows that although the public has become more pessimistic about short-term inflation and the overall economic outlook, both personal job stability and confidence in voluntary job quitting have improved, highlighting the underlying strength of the labor market amid headwinds.

Description

-

Published by
Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update