United States: Resignation Prediction: Average Probability of Unemployment

Macro

2026-07-08

Description

-

Published by
Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update

AI Data Insight

The latest data shows that in the second quarter of 2026, the average probability of the US public expecting to lose their jobs within the next 12 months dropped significantly from the previous value of 15.12% to 14.14%. This indicates that the employment anxiety seen since the beginning of the year has eased, and workers' sense of job security has improved. Market analysis suggests that this trend will help stabilize private consumer confidence, though overall corporate hiring momentum still needs to be monitored in the medium to long term.

AI Data Insight

The latest data shows that in the second quarter of 2026, the average probability of the US public expecting to lose their jobs within the next 12 months dropped significantly from the previous value of 15.12% to 14.14%. This indicates that the employment anxiety seen since the beginning of the year has eased, and workers' sense of job security has improved. Market analysis suggests that this trend will help stabilize private consumer confidence, though overall corporate hiring momentum still needs to be monitored in the medium to long term.

Description

-

Published by
Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update