AI Data Insight
The mean probability of unemployment in the US for Q2 2026 climbed to 15.11%, a significant increase from the previous value of 14.58%, highlighting a decline in workers' confidence in keeping their jobs. While the public's expected probability of finding a new job hit a recent low, the downside risks to the job market faced by the Federal Reserve are gradually expanding, which is expected to open up room for future monetary easing policies.