AI Data Insight
US private sector average hourly earnings in Q3 2026 fell to $37.62, edging down from $37.64 in the previous quarter, underperforming market expectations for an upward trend. The labor market shows signs of cooling, with the leisure and hospitality and local government sectors shedding a significant number of jobs, thereby restricting workers' bargaining power. As the risk of wage-driven inflation fades, the probability of the Federal Reserve pausing rate hikes in the short term has significantly increased, though attention must be paid to the risk of shrinking purchasing power among low- to middle-income households going forward.