AI Data Insight
In Q1 2026, the US federal funds target rate remained at 3.75%, flat compared to the previous value, fully in line with market expectations. Affected by the situation in the Middle East and surging oil prices, the Federal Reserve revised up its full-year inflation forecast, but the dot plot still maintained the estimate of a 1 quarter-point rate cut this year. Caught between a resilient economy and stubborn inflation, policy is expected to maintain a highly wait-and-see approach in the short term.