AI Data Insight

The latest 3-month moving average of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) reached 0.01 at the beginning of the third quarter of 2026, slightly rebounding from the previous -0.04 and turning positive. This figure is well above the -0.70 recession warning line, indicating that the stability of employment and consumption has supported economic momentum, and the overall US economy remains on a long-term trend of healthy expansion.

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