United States: PCE Price Index (YoY) - All Items (SA)

Macro

2026-07-30

Description

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is calculated and published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). This index measures the changes in prices of goods and services consumed by households and is a key indicator of inflation monitored by the Federal Reserve. Higher year-over-year growth rates in the PCE suggest increased consumer spending and inflation pressure, while lower rates indicate reduced spending and inflation.

PCE and CPI are both key inflation indicators, but they differ in the following ways:

1. Formula: PCE uses the Fisher-Ideal formula, which accounts for changes in consumer behavior, while CPI uses the Laspeyres formula, which is more static in nature.
2. Coverage: PCE includes all consumer spending, including expenses paid by employers and the government, whereas CPI only considers out-of-pocket expenses by consumers.
3. Weighting Differences: PCE weights are updated monthly and are based on business surveys, while CPI weights are adjusted annually and are based on household surveys.

The PCE index is typically released monthly and provides data on changes in consumer spending for the previous month.

Published by
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update
Hashtags

AI Data Insight

The latest US PCE annual growth rate for Q2 2026 dropped to 3.7%, a significant decline from the previous value of 4.1%, meeting market expectations for cooling. Benefiting from the easing of geopolitical conflicts that drove oil prices lower, core inflation also slowed simultaneously. This data performance reduces the urgency for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates in September in the short term, but long-term price stickiness risks remain.

AI Data Insight

The latest US PCE annual growth rate for Q2 2026 dropped to 3.7%, a significant decline from the previous value of 4.1%, meeting market expectations for cooling. Benefiting from the easing of geopolitical conflicts that drove oil prices lower, core inflation also slowed simultaneously. This data performance reduces the urgency for the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates in September in the short term, but long-term price stickiness risks remain.

Description

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is calculated and published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). This index measures the changes in prices of goods and services consumed by households and is a key indicator of inflation monitored by the Federal Reserve. Higher year-over-year growth rates in the PCE suggest increased consumer spending and inflation pressure, while lower rates indicate reduced spending and inflation.

PCE and CPI are both key inflation indicators, but they differ in the following ways:

1. Formula: PCE uses the Fisher-Ideal formula, which accounts for changes in consumer behavior, while CPI uses the Laspeyres formula, which is more static in nature.
2. Coverage: PCE includes all consumer spending, including expenses paid by employers and the government, whereas CPI only considers out-of-pocket expenses by consumers.
3. Weighting Differences: PCE weights are updated monthly and are based on business surveys, while CPI weights are adjusted annually and are based on household surveys.

The PCE index is typically released monthly and provides data on changes in consumer spending for the previous month.

Published by
U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (Choice)
Frequency
Monthly
Next Update
Hashtags