China: Economic Confidence Index

Macro

2026-07-30

Description

China Economic Confidence Index is compiled and published by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This indicator measures Chinese economists' confidence and expectations regarding future economic trends. The index is based on economists' assessments of the current economic situation and their expectations for the next six months. It serves as an important reference for understanding economic confidence and potential policy direction. A higher index value indicates greater optimism among economists about the economic outlook, while a lower value suggests concerns regarding future economic prospects.

Published by
National Bureau of Statistics of China (Choice)
Frequency
Quarterly
Next Update
Hashtags
China

AI Data Insight

In Q2 2026, China's Economists' Confidence Index fell to 96.4, a significant decline from the previous value of 98.7, remaining below the 100 boom-or-bust threshold. This trend echoes the slower-than-expected GDP growth of 4.3% for the quarter, reflecting the structural pressure of being "hot externally and cold internally." Amid the K-shaped divergence of strong exports and weak domestic demand, the market is closely watching whether authorities will increase fiscal stimulus to restore confidence.

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AI Data Insight

In Q2 2026, China's Economists' Confidence Index fell to 96.4, a significant decline from the previous value of 98.7, remaining below the 100 boom-or-bust threshold. This trend echoes the slower-than-expected GDP growth of 4.3% for the quarter, reflecting the structural pressure of being "hot externally and cold internally." Amid the K-shaped divergence of strong exports and weak domestic demand, the market is closely watching whether authorities will increase fiscal stimulus to restore confidence.

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Description

China Economic Confidence Index is compiled and published by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This indicator measures Chinese economists' confidence and expectations regarding future economic trends. The index is based on economists' assessments of the current economic situation and their expectations for the next six months. It serves as an important reference for understanding economic confidence and potential policy direction. A higher index value indicates greater optimism among economists about the economic outlook, while a lower value suggests concerns regarding future economic prospects.

Published by
National Bureau of Statistics of China (Choice)
Frequency
Quarterly
Next Update
Hashtags
China