AI Data Insight
In 2025, the contribution of US goods exports to annual GDP growth slipped to 0.13 percentage points (previous value 0.16), hitting a three-year low, reflecting the impact of weak global demand and rising trade barriers. The 43-day federal government shutdown in the fourth quarter further struck export momentum, causing single-quarter exports to turn from positive to negative. Although a technical rebound is expected in early 2026, the supporting force of trade on the economy is likely to continue weakening until tariff policies become clear.