Taiwan's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) in July 2025 Stops Decline, Showing Clear Boost in Stock Market Sentiment

2025-07-29

In July 2025, Taiwan's Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) showed signs of halting its decline, reaching 64.38 points, up 0.68 points from the previous month, ending a four-month downward streak. Although the increase was modest, it marked a stabilization of market confidence, indicating consumers are slightly more optimistic about the economic outlook after a period of uncertainty.

Key sub-index performances in July included (MoM):

  • The stock investment timing index surged by 5.15 points to 29.11, the largest gain among sub-indices, driven by strong Taiwan stock market performance and positive news such as the U.S. allowing certain chip exports.
  • The price level index rose slightly by 0.27 points to 32.74, reflecting cautious but stable expectations on inflation.
  • Domestic economic outlook fell by 0.46 points, the steepest drop, signaling lingering concerns about the overall economy.
  • Household economic conditions, durable goods purchase, and employment opportunities also declined by 0.41, 0.31, and 0.18 points respectively.
    Additionally, confidence in real estate purchase continued to hit a five-year low, with the housing purchase timing index slightly dropping to 94.48 points.

Overall, while the CCI stopped its decline, its low level indicates consumer confidence remains cautious. The marked rise in stock market investment sentiment reflects strong recent stock market trends and favorable international policy signals. However, confidence in the broader economy, household finances, and employment remains subdued. Future risks include tariff developments, global and U.S. market volatility, and local economic conditions. Experts caution about potential risks if AI industry growth does not translate into corporate earnings, likening it to the 2000 dot-com bubble. Investors and policymakers should monitor market and economic data closely to navigate upcoming uncertainties in consumer sentiment.